Gokhan Ciflikli. 2018. Learning Conflict Duration: Insights from Predictive Modelling. PhD thesis, The London School of Economics and Political Science (LSE). [PDF]
Gokhan Ciflikli, Nils Metternich, Sigrid Weber, and Kit Rickard. Taking time seriously when evaluating predictions in Binary-Time-Series-Cross-Section-Data. [PDF]
Nils Metternich, Gokhan Ciflikli, Ali Altaf, Sigrid Weber, Kit Rickard, and Gareth Lomax. Predicting the severity of civil wars: An actor-centric approach. [PDF]